20 years from now:
Modified net metering will make customer owned rooftop solar even more attractive and panels will be on the majority of roofs. Clever dispatching of fast ramping utility generation will be able to accept it and make it a valuable addition to the resource mix.
Utilities will own and dispatch a large number, perhaps the majority, of residential rooftop solar.
Subsidies will be discontinued and rooftop PV will be much less attractive to either customers or utilities.
Just like the black rooftop water heater bags so popular in the 70’s, rooftop PV panels will end up as a landfill nightmare as we move on to new fads.
I don’t agree with any of these – see my comments below.
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