Which attacker is more likely to conquer Africa on the depicted attack run? (poll 8264346)

Which attacker is more likely to conquer Africa on the depicted attack run?

Purple, who attacks largest force last, is more likely to conquer Africa.

Blue, who attacks the largest force first, is more likely to conquer Africa

Both are equally likely to conquer Africa

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See this poll on: https://poll.fm/8264346/embed

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